The political landscape of Delhi is set for a dramatic showdown as the exit polls for the 2025 Delhi Assembly Election have rolled out, delivering predictions that are nothing short of startling. If the exit polls are to be believed, the capital is poised for a seismic shift in its political allegiances.
The BJP’s Groundswell: According to the latest figures, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) appears to be making a formidable comeback in Delhi after a significant hiatus. Here’s how the numbers stack up:
Exit Poll Results 2023
Polling Agency | BJP | AAP | Congress |
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- Chanakya Strategies predicts BJP securing between 39-44 seats, painting a picture of resurgence for the saffron party in the national capital.
- Matrize isn’t far behind, forecasting a close race with BJP likely clinching 35-40 seats.
- P-Marq, echoing similar sentiments, also sees BJP winning 39-44 seats.
- People’s Pulse goes even further, predicting a landslide for BJP with 51-60 seats.
- People’s Insight and Poll Diary add to this narrative with projections of 40-44 and 42-50 seats respectively for BJP.
- JVC rounds up with BJP potentially gaining 39-45 seats.
This consistent trend across various polls suggests BJP might be on the verge of ending its long drought in Delhi’s Assembly politics.
The AAP’s Challenge: On the other side, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), which has dominated Delhi’s political scene in recent times, faces an uphill battle:
- Chanakya Strategies sees AAP potentially capturing 25-28 seats, a significant drop from their previous performances.
- Matrize offers a sliver of hope with a prediction of 32-37 seats, hinting at a tough but potentially salvageable situation for AAP.
- P-Marq is less optimistic, projecting AAP to secure between 21-31 seats.
- People’s Pulse delivers a sobering forecast, with AAP possibly shrinking to just 10-18 seats.
- Poll Diary and People’s Insight both predict a similar fate for AAP, with 18-25 and 25-28 seats respectively.
- JVC sees AAP slightly better off, with 22-31 seats.
These numbers indicate a possible contraction of AAP’s influence, challenging Arvind Kejriwal’s party to recalibrate its strategy post-election.
Congress: The Dark Horse? The Congress party, which has been on the sidelines in recent Delhi elections, appears to have a marginal presence:
- Most polls unanimously see Congress either scraping through with 0-1 or 0-2 seats, with Chanakya Strategies being slightly more generous at 2-3 seats.
This suggests that Congress might not significantly alter the outcome but could play kingmaker if the results are as close as some polls suggest.
What Does This Mean for Delhi? The exit polls, while not definitive, paint a picture of a BJP surge, potentially ending AAP’s dream of a hat-trick in Delhi. This could mark a return to BJP rule in Delhi, emphasizing development and governance over AAP’s welfare-centric policies. For AAP, these numbers are a call to introspection, possibly needing to reinvent its approach or face the electorate’s evolving demands.
As we await the final count on February 8, the political air in Delhi is thick with anticipation. Will BJP’s lotus bloom in Delhi again, or will AAP manage to turn the tables with last-minute voter sentiment? Only time will tell, but these exit poll results have certainly set the stage for one of the most gripping election tales of 2025. Stay tuned for what promises to be an electrifying conclusion to Delhi’s political drama.